We’ve reached the time of year where lineup decisions can feel debilitating. The fear of making a fatal mistake in the playoffs understandable, but you’re going to have to get over it. Especially at running back in Week 16.

As of Tuesday afternoon, I have 31 running backs projected to score at least 12 PPR Fantasy points. But I only have 13 running backs projected to score 15 PPR Fantasy points, and four of them are Ezekiel Elliott, Breece Hall, Bijan Robinson, and Ty Chandler. In other words, most people in the playoffs are going to have some difficult decisions to make at running back.

What I suggest this week is sticking with your process. For some people that means that they would never sit an early-round pick like Tony Pollard or Derrick Henry for a waiver wire add like Chandler. For others that may mean they could never start a guy like Robinson or Hall who just faceplanted over a guy like James Conner who just had a great game. For me, that means I’ll trust where my projections land at kickoff. There is a saying that you should trust the guys who got you here. I modify that only slightly; trust the process that got you here.

• Heath’s Week 16 Previews: QB | RB | WR | TE

You can find more in my weekly projections over at SportsLine. Now let’s get to the rest of the Week 16 RB Preview:

Week 16 RB Preview

The following players are not being projected to play Week 16 at this time. Here’s what it means:

• 69% – Jaylen Warren played a season-high 69% of the snaps in Week 15. Hopefully that wasn’t entirely about the game script.
• 11.2% – A league-low 11.2% of James Cook’s rushes have gone for zero or negative yards. He’s a must-start running back with the increased volume.
• 24.3 – Kyren Williams is averaging 24.3 rush attempts per game in three December starts this season. Only Christian McCaffrey projects for more than Fantasy points in Week 16.
• 3.8 – Derrick Henry’s 3.8 yards per carry is the lowest of his career and his 63.1 rushing yards per game is his lowest since 2017. He is not a must-start running back this week.
• 87 – Chuba Hubbard has at least 87 rushing yards in three straight games.

My full set of Week 16 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don’t live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 16. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.